PA WILL UNDERPLAY CONGRESS
- Will Serzh Sargsyan force the Prosperous Armenia Party to form a coalition with the the Republicans? This is the key post-election question.A lot of experts think that RPA was able to play down the opposition factor and aspiration of PA in the parliamentary election and will further try to have PA form a coalition again and thus put an end to the independent political biography of PA. But does this require forming coalition of the RPA and PA? If PA has been defeated so that the RPA can determine any format, the coalition with PA will be ballast for PA.Most probably Serzh Sargsyan knows this. Hence, forming coalition would mean that PA is still an influential factor in government and Serzh Sargsyan, despite having de jure absolute majority, nevertheless de facto he has to take into account PA and offer to form a coalition to neutralize further tension and resistance.In this meaning, if RPA forms coalition with PA, even if it will mean PA's defeat because during the campaign the party set such an opposition bar that forming coalition would be strange, a coalition government will mean that Serzh Sargsyan's victory was not absolute, and he has to offer partnership to Gagik Tsarukyan or more exactly Robert Kocharyan.If the Republican Party has been able to beat PA, PA could be more useful to Serzh Sargsyan as opposition rather than as a coalition partner. In addition, it is not essential whether PA will be a marionette or a real rival.The point is that if PA is not dangerous for RPA, by leaving PA as opposition Serzh Sargsyan can see to several issues. First, thus PA will start to fight the other forces rather than RPA. PA will continue to gain self-confidence in the opposition and in this sense it must impose recognition of its long-term leadership over the other forces representing the opposition.At the same time, with that status of PA Serzh Sargsyan will continue to underplay the so-called opposition "originality" of the Armenian National Congress, and the Congress may remain in the same situation as during the campaign, in the shade.In the long run, by leaving PA in the opposition, Serzh Sargsyan will encourage competition within the opposition, thus rendering the field mostly controllable by the time of the presidential election. There is little possibility that the opposition will unite against rather than compete with the RPA, evidence to which is the parliamentary election and the first post-election steps of these subjects. HAKOB BADALYAN
© AUAToday in Armenian history
- 1804 Mamed Khan of Yerevan, knowing of the Russian force's progress, orders the migration (for the duration of the war) of about 20000 Armenians from the Khanate of Yerevan to Ghars.
- 1810 Birth of Gabriel Aivazovski in Feodosia (Ukraine). He died in 1880 in Tbilissi (Georgia).
- 1838 Birth of Viscount James Bryce (statesman). He served under Prime Minister William Gladstone. He was a founder of the League of Nations. He wrote on jurisprudence and political science. He vociferously condemned the Armenian Genocide by the Turkish government. He died in 1922.
- 1848 The Lazaryan College (Moscow) becomes the Institute of Western Languages.
- 1855 The Sultan orders, for the first time, the draft for the Christians in Turkey. The order was ineffective.
- 1920 Armenia's Revolutionary Military Committee in Alexandropol and proclaims the establishment of Soviet power in Armenia.
- 1923 Birth of Heydar Aliev, First Secretary of the Communist Party in Azerbaijan, Head of the Azeri Turk subdivision of the Soviet KGB, Member of the USSR Politbureau, and Head of Atheistic Propaganda under the Soviet regime. Committed Genocide against the Armenians of Nakhitshevan and Artsakh. Took over the presidency of Azerbaijan in 1993.
- 1941 The Ten-day Festival of Armenian Literature starts in Moscow (Russia).
- 1943 Garegeen the First (Hovsepyants) is anointed Catholicos of Cilicia in Antilias' Cathedral.