TURKEY CONDUCTS POLICY OF DIVIDING SOUTH CAUCASUS

The situation in Turkey is hopeless, only an optimist may expect that after the Turkish election positive moves will be made to improve relations with Armenia, stated Ruben Safrastyan, expert on Turkish studies, on July 27 at the Friday Club. According to Ruben Safrastyan, the reality is hopeless also because no political party comes up with an alternative proposal to the approach of the government towards the relations with Armenia.
Certainly the ruling Justice and Development Party has made two unprecedented statements. Ali Babajan, the third person of the party, stated October 2002 before the election that with regard to the relations with Armenia it is necessary to leave aside politics and focus on the economic interests. It might become the track for improvement of relations with Armenia, but after coming to power they forgot or denied this statement, Ruben Safrastyan said.
The next was Recep Tayyib Erdoghan’s statement in 2005. Erdoghan deviated from the policy of denial coming from the 20s of the 20th century and proposed that a group of Armenian and Turkish historians find out if there was a genocide or not. This proposal was not picked up by the Armenian historians. Generally, Ruben Safrastyan thinks the Turks refuse to recognize the genocide because they do not want to be labeled as a nation which committed genocide. Yet uncertainty is another reason for the delay of the recognition of the Genocide; Armenia has not stated yet what it will claim in case Turkey recognizes the genocide of Armenians, Ruben Safrastyan stated.
The moves Armenia makes regarding the relations with Turkey are correct, he thinks. Since 1992 Armenia has proposed to set up relations without preconditions. According to Ruben Safrastyan, it is the basic and logical condition for relations. However, approximately at the same time Turkey started conducting a policy of dividing the South Caucasus: “In an effort to create a group of minor allies including Georgia and Azerbaijan.” However, this policy is not favorable for the United States, Russia and the EU, and Ruben Safrastyan thinks Turkey will bring this program into being with difficulty. Especially that Turkey committed to improvement of relations with neighbors on the track for the EU membership which it fails, in fact. Instead, Turkey will hinder the affirmation of the U.S. Congress resolution on the genocide, as it has done so far, Ruben Safrastyan stated.

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