Published since
Published on September 02, 2008
GUARANTOR OF SECURITY OF RUINS
- Armenia is facing a really very difficult situation: to recognize or not to recognize Abkhazia and South Ossetia. If we do not recognize, Russia may be offended. Besides, a strange situation may occur regarding the Karabakh issue when we want others to recognize Karabakh but we decline to recognize the independence of states which have the same fate as Karabakh. If we recognize, we will spoil our relations with Tbilisi, and Tbilisi will spoil the railway which ships goods for us, which runs via its territory, and a great economic crisis will start in our country. What to do? The best way would be if the Olympic Games in Beijing lasted for several months or at least for one more week, until the situation would improve, and maybe afterwards Russia would state that it made a mistake, the recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia was a hasty decision, would reach new agreement with the West which would last at least for a decade, and the Armenian government would rid of the bugbear of having to voice a distinct stance on some issue. However, the reality is that the next Olympic Games will be in four years, and nobody can wait for Armenia that long. For instance, the president of Russia Dmitry Medvedev is in such a hurry that he invited the president of Armenia to Sochi to have a talk. And since the Armenian-Russian relations is not Armenian-Turkish relations, Serge Sargsyan left for Sochi without second thoughts, unlike Gul who would not announce if he is coming to Armenia or not. Certainly, however, this has nothing to do with the Abkhazian and South Ossetian dilemma that Armenia is facing. No doubt, if the meeting of Dmitry Medvedev and Serge Sargsyan on September 2 in Sochi is not deciding, it will at least be crucial to making a decision. It is also clear that Serge Sargsyan has no alternative except for temporizing. However, the question is how he should temporize. Either the president of Armenia should promise Medvedev that Armenia will recognize Abkhazia and South Ossetia but then will have to explain why he postpones the recognition, until the West and Russia agree, or Serge Sargsyan should promise something to Russia, on the condition that Russia does not force Armenia to recognize the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. The question occurs what Serge Sargsyan can promise if we have given all our valuable and even worthless property to the Russians. What else can we give them that would interest them? It seems that our last strategic “property” is left, Karabakh. Perhaps only Karabakh is left that Russia may demand from Armenia not to force, make Armenia to recognize Abkhazia and South Ossetia soon. Who knows, maybe it was intended that Medvedev invited Serge Sargsyan to Sochi on the day of independence of Karabakh. It certainly goes without saying how Russia needs Karabakh now. After the military victory but diplomatic fiasco in Georgia, Russia needs another conflict to be a factor in the region. In fact, a situation has occurred when after the recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia Russia is unable to use them as a factor in the diplomatic battles for the region. Consequently, now Russia heavily relies on the Karabakh conflict, therefore it should try to increase its influence on that conflict area. Meanwhile, if Armenia took that step, it would perhaps be the greatest concession that the Armenian government would have made since independence. Those who will be encouraged by that prospect, thinking that such a powerful state as Russia backs Karabakh, should have a retrospective look at South Ossetia. Russia was also the guarantor of security of South Ossetia, meanwhile now there is almost completely ruined Tskhinvali, tens of thousands of displaced persons and refugees, an official death toll of 2000, and Russia is reining the ruins. HAKOB BADALYAN
© Lragir
Headlines for September 02, 2008VIVACELL AIDS SCHOOL OF URTSADZOR VILLAGE
VivaCell, a subsidiary of Mobile TeleSystems OJSC (NYSE: MBT), announces that thanks to the company AMD 29.176 million donation, the secondary school of the village of Urtsadzor is now renovated. New ...THE WAY TO SCHOOL OR THE WAY TO RESIGNATION
The Armenian government led by the president visited schools and universities on September 1. These are the educational institutions which Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan wanted to depoliticize. As many ...GUARANTOR OF SECURITY OF RUINS
Armenia is facing a really very difficult situation: to recognize or not to recognize Abkhazia and South Ossetia. If we do not recognize, Russia may be offended. Besides, a strange situation may occur ...ECONOMIC SHOCK AWAITING RUSSIA
The war in South Ossetia and the deteriorating relations with the West threaten Russia with a serious economic shock. The Russian experts think so whose forecast is based on the state of the Russian financial ...HENCHAK PARTY CALLS UPON CITIZENS AND NATIONAL FOOTBALL TEAM TO GIVE WARM WELCOME
On these days a lot of Turkish citizens arrive in Armenia to watch the match Armenia vs. Turkey. Being aware of the innumerable unsettled issues between our homeland and Turkey – no one of us has forgotten ...SERGE SARGSYAN AND TIGRAN TOROSYAN CONGRATULATE ON INDEPENDENCE DAY OF NKR
On September 2 Serge Sargsyan issued a congratulatory message on the Independence Day of NKR. “The past 17 years proved that the choice of the people of Artsakh in that situation was the only right way,” ...OWNER OF ARMAVIA MAY REFUSE VTB LOAN TO BUY TWO SSJ JETS
The owner of the Armavia company may refuse the loan of the Russian VTB Bank to buy to SSJ (Sukhoi Super Jet) planes, the owner of Armavia Mikhail Baghdasarov said in an interview with the ARKA. At the ...BORDYUZHA SETS ARMENIA AND GEORGIA AGAINST EACH OTHER
In today’s news conference in Yerevan the secretary general of the Collective Security Treaty Nikolay Bordyuzha tried to set Armenia and Georgia against each other. He stated that the damage inflicted ...LEVON TER-PETROSYAN REVEALS THREE MORE DOCUMENTS
On September 2 the first president Levon Ter-Petrosyan held a news conference and revealed three documents which, according to Levon Ter-Petrosyan, are evidence to the monstrous crimes of the present ...RUMORS ON RETURN
Does the first president Levon Ter-Petrosyan consider the second president Robert Kocharyan as his opponent in future political activities? Lragir.am asked this question to the first president in a news ...SETTLEMENT FOR ONE, TROUBLE FOR ANOTHER
Judging by the global process underway in the Caucasus, the frozen conflicts are being resolved one after another, said the first president Levon Ter-Petrosyan on September 2, commenting on the regional ...WILL TRY TO PERSUADE PEOPLE BUT NOT BORE
An honest government never clings to government levers, only a criminal government does that, the first president Levon Ter-Petrosyan stated, who dwelled on the problems of the movement he heads and evaluated ...LEVON TER-PETROSYAN: SARGSYAN STUMBLED
The society in Armenia has always been ready for the improvement of the Armenian and Turkish relations, friendly relations with Turkey, said the first president of Armenia Levon Ter-Petrosyan on September ...WILL ARMENIA RECOGNIZE?
The Russian president Dmitry Medvedev offered the countries of the Collective Security Treaty Organization to work out a joint stance on the events in South Ossetia during the summit in Moscow this week. ...
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Today in Armenian history- 1829 The Russo-Turkish Peace Treaty was signed in Adrianople. Akhalkalak, Akhltskha, the eastern shore of the Black Sea, Anapa, and Poti are ceded to Russia.
- 1837 The Armenian Parish school begins its activities in Yerevan.
- 1905 Birth of Vardan Achemyan (actor). He died in 1977.
- 1915 The "Guichen" rescues the Armenian resistance fighters of the 40-day battle of Musa Dagh.
- 1958 The Bolshoi Theatre performs in Armenia.
- 1991 The District Councils of Artsakh (Mountainous Gharabagh) and Shahumian meet in Stepanakert and proclaim their statehood on the basis of their right to self-determination as given by the United Nations.
- 1991 Artsakhs local legislative councils jointly adopt the Declaration of the Republic of Nagorno Gharabagh which declares the independence of Artsakh (including the Shahumian district) from Azerbaijan. This was in conformity with the 1990 04 03 Soviet law titled Law of the USSR Concerning the Procedure of Secession of a Soviet Republic from the USSR which allowed for autonomous regions to become independent of those republics that would declare their independence from the USSR.
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