WHO WILL BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF OUR COUNTRY ACCORDING TO BRITISH SOCIOLOGISTS?
On February 6, British "Populus" sociological organization presented the results of the survey conducted in Armenia.
According to the organization's Founder and Strategic Director Andrew Cooper they conduct similar surveys by request of many well-known British and international news agencies and private companies.
The survey in Armenia was conducted by request of Armenian Public TV/Radio company council. It's not the only survey in Armenia, it is foreseen to conduct another survey and an Exit poll on Election Day.
The survey was conducted in January 21-29, in different provinces of Armenia, by casual choice, among about 1500 citizens. According to Mr. Cooper this number is enough to get acquainted with public mood.
The analysis of the survey results was made in London, and the survey was conducted by Armenian Sociological Association under British supervision.
Andrew Cooper mentioned that their organization has high rating, and they have no interests in the elections of Armenia.
53 percent of the questioned think that the developments in Armenia keep right course. 47 percent don't share the opinion.
The Founder and Strategic Director of "Populus" mentioned that there is a serious progress here according to surveys conducted in April and October.
51 percent of the questioned are optimistic about the country's future, and 9 percent - pessimistic.
The percentage of the optimists among the youth is higher - 61 percent.
The number of the people, who think that coming elections will be fairer and freer increased by 5 percent (30 percent), 24 percent have opposite opinion.
The strongest influence on the elections have TVs - 93 percent, 88 percent attach great importance to the meetings with the candidates, 83 percent - discussions with family members, 80 percent - the Press, and then comes radio- 78 percent.
"Populis" is interested in following questions: "Who will better solve unemployment problem in Armenia?" - Serge Sarkisian - 43 percent, Arthur Baghdasarian - 28 percent, then come Vahan Hovhannisian, A. Geghamian, Ter-Petrosian, etc.
To the question "Who will make the economy stronger?" - Serge Sarkisian got 41 percent, A. Baghdasarian - 26 percent, etc.
In the settlement of Karabakh conflict the present Prime Minister has got 54 percent, then comes Vahan Hovhannisian - 14 percent, L. Ter-Petrosian - 13 percent, etc.
In Genocide recognition issue 40 percent rely on Serge Sarkisian, 17 percent- Vahan Hovhannisian, 12 percent - Arthur Baghdasarian and 11 percent - Levon Ter-Petrosian.
In the question of national security the leader is Serge Sarkisian (46 percent), then comes Arthur Baghdasarian - 18 percent, Vahan Hovhannisian - 14 percent.
In the settlement of social and economic issues the leader is again Serge Sarkisian.
In the struggle against corruption Serge Sarkisian has the lowest rating - 28 percent, according to 19 percent Arthur Baghdasarian will struggle against that disaster, Geghamian and Ter-Petrosian have 12 percent each, and Vahan Hovhannisian - 11 percent.
Summarizing this part of the survey Andrew Cooper mentioned that Serge Sarkisian holds the lead unequivocally.
According to the survey, the ratings of the parties (from 1 to 100 unit) are the following -
Republican Party - 56,89, "Prosperous Armenia" - 46,49, "Orinats Erkir" - 46, 33, ARF Dashnaktsutyun - 41, 74, "National Unity" - 34,04, ADP - 32,57, People's Party - 32,21.
56 percent of the questioned answered that they are going to participate in the elections, 24 percent mentioned of the probability of their participation in the elections.
The results of the question "who will you vote for?" is the following: Serge Sarkisian - 50,7 percent, Arthur Baghdasarian - 13,4 percent, Levon Ter-Petrosian - 12,6 percent, Vahan Hovhannisian - 7,6 percent, Artashes Geghamian - 6,4 percent, Tigran Karapetian - 4,5 percent, Vazgen Manoukian - 3,2 percent. The rest of the candidates have got lower percentage.
According to Populus the rating of the Prime Minister increased by 8 percent compared with October.
Andrew Cooper concluded that the Armenian citizens are optimistic in the future of Armenia and think that the country has taken the right course, consequently, the Strategic Director of the Populus will not be surprised if Serge Sarkisian wins the presidential elections with "good results", as he is more supported than the other candidates taken together.
- By Armen Manvelian, translated by L.H.
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- 1806 General Tshitshianov is murdered in Baku.
- 1895 Constantinople's Armenian Patriarch, Matevos Izmirlian, in a letter to Turkey's Minister of Justice, informs him, in detail, of the illegal actions of Turks in the Armenian Provinces, including the murders and deportations of the Armenians.
- 1914 The Great Powers and Turkey sign an Armenian Improvements Project. The Dutch official, Westenenk and the Norwegian envoy, Hoff arrive in Constantinople as observers. Because of the start of the First World War, the agreement remains a dead letter.
- 1915 The Young Turks' "Union and Progress" Committee creates a special Sub-Committee for organizing deportations and genocide of the Armenians in Turkey.
- 1918 Death of Dr. Vaheh Minassian the translator Hayneh.
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