ILHAM ALIYEV TARGET OF AMERICAN MASS MEDIA
When in the spring of 2003 the first revolutionary slogans sounded in Tbilisi, few people believed that the times of Shevardnadze will come to an end soon. In the days of the Ukrainian events, the decline of the Kuchma clan was more probable for many people. Few months later, when the revolutionary wave moved to Kyrgyzstan, few people suspected that Akaev can preserve the power.
In fact, the "colorful revolutions" in the area of the CIS have become a inescapable process. Usually, before the revolutions begin, the western press begins discussing the anti-democratic of this or that president. Today, Ilham Aliyev and Azerbaijan have become the target for the western press.
Regnum agency informed that the American Stratfor analytical center continues publications on the inner political situation of Azerbaijan.
"In Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Ilham Aliyev, Azeri President, is in the center of attention on the background of the elections envisaged in November, 2005. Recently, he received instructions from Washington about his further actions to preserve the power. Aliyev seems to follow them, just like Voronin, president of Moldova, did," Stratfor" writes.
According to "Stratfor," Rino Harnish, U.S. ambassador to Azerbaijan, represented the spheres where Washington want s to see progress. Harnish announced that the U.S. expects decisive steps from Azerbaijan in development of democracy and for economic reforms, as well as for the peaceful settlement of Nagorno Karabakh and for other issues. Harnish called for the authorities and the opposition to unfold a dialogue and sign a united memorandum for free, just and transparent parliamentary elections.
Though Aliyev's clan said that Harnish interferes with the home affairs of Azerbaijan and number of deputies condemned the American Ambassador, Ilham Aliyev signed a decree on holding peaceful rallies on May 11. At the same time, the authorities applied force and broke up the opposition rally on May 21.
"Aliyev should see that the factors in Azerbaijan are very alike those that deprived Akaev of his power. The Azeri government is a mixture of the Aleve's clan and criminal elements. The population of this country lives in poverty," "Stratfor" writes, adding that Washington doesn’t want any chaos in Baku.
"Washington suggested Aliyev to make a choice between preserving the power and being politically controlled or being seized. Aliyev seems to have chosen the first variant. Washington feels another issue. The Azeri opposition is not unanimous, there is no political figure or a party that could expect the support of the U.S. in seizing the power. The U.S. is more interested in letting Aliyev govern, and, most likely, as soon as Washington is satisfied with the effective work of Baku-Cehyan, it will try to remove Aliyev," Stratfor stated.
Recently, the American high ranked state and political figures speak more of the power shift in Azerbaijan. Last week, George Bush and Condoleezza Rice stated in public that they are admired with "democratic revolutions."
There are no publications on a possible revolution in Armenia yet. This is first of all caused by the fact that the next elections in our country will take place in 2007 only. The Armenian opposition can only count on the statement of the American officials concerning "spreading democracy." On one hand, our opposition doesn’t like the activities of John Evans, U.S. Ambassador to Armenia, who doesn’t give public instructions to Robert Kocharian.
Certainly, we shouldn’t exclude that one day "the colorful revolutionary wave " can reach Armenia.
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